Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024389 0.026325 0.028343 0.030607 0.033076 0.035690 0.038671
2025-11-30 0.021036 0.023788 0.026810 0.030384 0.034504 0.039116 0.044687
2025-12-07 0.018842 0.022050 0.025713 0.030220 0.035638 0.041967 0.049961
2025-12-14 0.017166 0.020650 0.024752 0.029964 0.036447 0.044293 0.054578
2025-12-21 0.015993 0.019697 0.024176 0.030029 0.037529 0.046891 0.059576
2025-12-28 0.014912 0.018746 0.023492 0.029848 0.038211 0.048940 0.063913
2026-01-04 0.014048 0.017991 0.022976 0.029802 0.039004 0.051112 0.068480
2026-01-11 0.013361 0.017407 0.022622 0.029914 0.039967 0.053515 0.073457
2026-01-18 0.012726 0.016843 0.022246 0.029948 0.040791 0.055734 0.078272
2026-01-25 0.012219 0.016414 0.022014 0.030145 0.041825 0.058268 0.083660
2026-02-01 0.011584 0.015770 0.021447 0.029826 0.042083 0.059679 0.087447
2026-02-08 0.010954 0.015100 0.020801 0.029347 0.042064 0.060659 0.090605
2026-02-15 0.010461 0.014616 0.020420 0.029267 0.042681 0.062696 0.095664
2026-02-22 0.009953 0.014087 0.019948 0.029031 0.043052 0.064388 0.100317
2026-03-01 0.009509 0.013626 0.019548 0.028871 0.043518 0.066237 0.105328
2026-03-08 0.009077 0.013160 0.019114 0.028627 0.043825 0.067832 0.110005
2026-03-15 0.008758 0.012847 0.018889 0.028688 0.044608 0.070221 0.116167
2026-03-22 0.008404 0.012461 0.018533 0.028517 0.044994 0.071965 0.121314
2026-03-29 0.008105 0.012146 0.018268 0.028473 0.045578 0.074059 0.127204
2026-04-05 0.007861 0.011904 0.018103 0.028579 0.046409 0.076608 0.134081
2026-04-12 0.007616 0.011648 0.017903 0.028611 0.047108 0.078958 0.140743
2026-04-19 0.007419 0.011460 0.017801 0.028799 0.048079 0.081832 0.148584
2026-04-26 0.007131 0.011111 0.017423 0.028495 0.048165 0.083116 0.153445